|
Talking Points:
Iraq
1- For almost 11 years, the Iraqi
civilian population has been suffering from the most draconian and
prolonged economic sanctions imposed by the United Nations and supported
by the US government:
- "Smart Bombs" dropped by the U.S. 11 years
ago targeted water treatment plants, sewage treatment plants,
power plants, schools and hospitals.
- One-fourth of Iraqi children under the age
of five are malnourished. [UN Report, March 1999]
- There has been a 160 percent rise in Iraq's
infant mortality rate since 1991. Iraq has the highest increase
in child mortality during the period 1990-99 of 188 countries
surveyed. [UNICEF, December 2000]
- As many as 70 percent of Iraqi women suffer
from anemia. [U.N. Report, March 1999]
- Sanctions have contributed to the death of
over one million Iraqis. More than 200 people die each day in
Iraq; 5,000 to 6,000 die each month. [UNICEF and Denis Halliday,
UN Humanitarian Coordinator for Iraq]
- Access to potable water, relative to 1990
levels, is only 50 percent in urban areas and 33 percent in rural
areas. The overall deterioration in the quality and quantity of
drinking water has contributed to the rapid spread of infectious
disease. Raw sewage often flows into streets and homes. [World
Food Program]
- School enrollment for all ages (6 - 23) has
declined to 53 percent. [UN Report, March 1999]
- Per capita income fell from $3,416 U.S. dollars
in 1984 to less than $1,036 in 1998. Other sources estimate a
per capita decrease as low as $450 U.S. in 1995. [IMF and UN Report,
March 1999]
- Iraq experienced a shift from relative affluence
to massive poverty. [UN Report, March 1999]
2- Instead of ending the economic
sanctions against Iraq, the United States and Britain have come
up with so-called "Smart Sanctions", which is basically
meant to institutionalize (and justify) the ongoing suffering of
the Iraqi people. The smart sanctions policy does not improve the
desperate situation in Iraq, since:
- There are still too many banned items in the
new proposal. The current version of the Smart Sanctions proposal
has a 23-page list of banned items, which highly restricts Iraqs
access to new technology and spare parts badly needed for the
reconstruction of the ruined economy.
- The "Smart Sanctions" proposal would
allow more commodities into Iraq, but would not address the fundamental
problem of the low purchasing power of the vast majority of Iraqis.
Presently, and also under the "new" sanctions, Iraqi people who
are employed are paid low wages, with a greatly devalued currency.
The present "oil for food" program results in annual
revenues of less than $120 per person.
- Smart sanctions do not lift the almost complete
ban on foreign investment, necessary because Iraqs infrastructural
and reconstruction needs are so severe: "The deterioration
in Iraq's civilian infrastructure is so far reaching that it can
only be reversed with extensive investment and development efforts."
(Human Rights Watch, and others, August 2000).
- The "Smart Sanctions" proposal would
increase the amount of money taken for the UN compensation commission.
Currently, 25% of the proceeds from Iraqs oil sales are
diverted to the UN Compensation Commission, which processes claims
for damages by victims of Iraqs 1990 invasion of Kuwait.
The new British proposal would restore the UNCCs cut to
30%. This would be taking away revenue desperately needed by Iraq
for reconstruction and basic needs.
- And finally, "Smart Sanctions" a
total closure of the Iraqi border. If this happens, the Iraqi
government will not have the supplement income it now derives
from commerce with neighboring countries and uses to pay civil
servants such as teachers and doctors.
- After the September 11th attack,
many high ranking officials as well as the media asked for a military
attack against Iraq similar to the ongoing US military operations
in Afghanistan, even though so far there has been no evidence
linking the Iraqi regime to the terrorist operations in New York
and Washington. Although they argue that Saddam Husseins
regime is a constant source of threat to global peace and security,
and hence should be eliminated, the fact is that any military
strike against Iraq can destabilize the whole Middle East and
create more problems for the international community, including
the United States;
- Attacking Iraq will result in more civilian
deaths and casualties in a population who have already suffered
a lot as the result of an 8 years of bloody war with Iran (in
which about half a million Iraqis died), the 1990 Gulf war (with
over 100.000 casualties) and 11 years of economic sanctions (that
has so far left near one million civilian deaths).
- A military operation to topple the Iraqi regime
will surely plunge Iraq into a civil war. In the absence of any
meaningful political alternative for Saddam Hussein (as well as
the lack of any powerful or popular opposition group), the most
likely scenario will be an endless cycle of violence and bloodshed
among different religious and ethnic groups (Shiites in the South,
Sunnis in the middle and Kurds in the northern part of the country).
- The war against Iraq will have an immediately
destructive impact on the whole region and can potentially lead
to a military standoff between Iraqs neighbors. While the
fundamentalist Iran will do anything to bring the Iraqi Shiites
into power, the nightmare of having another Islamic Republic in
the region will cause Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Jordan to counter
Tehrans attempt. Also Turkey might want to take advantage
of the vacuum of power and annex the oil-rich Iraqi Kurdistan,
a move which will put the NATO member at verge of war with neighboring
Iran (which has a sizable Kurdish population) as well as Arab
countries (who can not tolerate the partition of an Arab nation).
- Targeting another Muslim country will portray
the US as an interventionist and expansionist country and cause
a new wave of anti-American and anti-Western sentiments among
Arabs and Muslims. This will in turn help the Muslim extremists
receive more sympathy and support from the average person in the
Middle East and eventually make future attacks against United
States interests and its regional allies quite likely.
- US intervention in Iraq will even jeopardize
the peace process between Israelis and Palestinians. Such a unilateral
military move can alienate moderate Arab governments in the region
(who are already critical of unconditional US support for Israel)
and make them more skeptical of US policies in the Middle East.
The resultant mistrust will not only undermine the US credibility
as a peace-broker, but also will put the existing global coalition
against terrorism at risk and significantly reduce the likelihood
of further cooperation between Arab countries and US to combat
terrorism.
|